The Big Thaw: San Antonio Sheds the Ice for a Groundhog Day Warming Trend

Morning: A Chilly Start with Lingering Fog

San Antonio residents waking up this Monday, February 2, 2026, will find a much more manageable atmosphere than the record-breaking arctic blast experienced last week. The morning starts on the chilly side, with temperatures hovering between 36°F and 40°F across the metro area. Early commuters should remain alert for patchy fog, particularly in areas to the southeast of the city, which may briefly impact visibility during the dawn hours.

As the sun rises on Groundhog Day, the clear skies from the weekend will begin to give way to increasing cloud cover. Despite the clouds, the bite of the recent sub-freezing temperatures has finally faded, marking the start of a significant warming trend driven by a ridge of high pressure strengthening over the western United States.

Afternoon: Reaching the Mid-60s

By midday, the "weather roller coaster" that has defined early 2026 continues its upward climb. Afternoon highs are projected to reach a comfortable 65°F to 66°F. While the sky will remain mostly cloudy throughout the day, the southerly flow of air is providing much-needed relief to a region that spent nearly 47 consecutive hours at or below freezing just days ago. The wind is expected to be light, generally under 5 miles per hour, making for a pleasant afternoon for those heading outdoors to see if the local groundhog predicts an early spring.

Evening: Spotty Showers and Rising Humidity

As we head into the evening hours, temperatures will stay relatively mild, lingering in the 60s before gradually dipping into the high 40s overnight. However, the atmosphere will turn more unsettled. Local forecasts indicate a 20% chance of rain as moisture levels rise ahead of a weak cold front scheduled to arrive on Tuesday. These spotty showers are most likely to develop after sunset and continue intermittently through the early morning hours of Tuesday.

Warnings and Outlook

While there are currently no active wind or hard freeze warnings for the San Antonio area today, officials continue to monitor the state’s electric grid following the impact of Winter Storm Fern. Residents are encouraged to enjoy today’s break from the extreme cold, as another minor temperature drop is expected mid-week. For today, the primary message is one of recovery: the ice has melted, the pipes are safe, and the spring-like 60s are a welcome change of pace for South Central Texas.

• Morning Low: 36°F - 40°F with patchy fog.
• Afternoon High: 65°F - 66°F under mostly cloudy skies.
• Evening: 48°F with a 20% chance of spotty showers.
• Wind: Light and variable, 2-5 mph.